Our soccer betting professional Jones Is aware of is again to supply extra Premier League perception forward of the weekend, beginning with Friday Night time Soccer.
Brighton vs Southampton, Friday 8pm, reside on Sky Sports activities
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Should you had backed all 5 dwelling groups that went off odds-on final weekend within the Premier League with a one-point stake, you’d have misplaced 4.6 models. There are real indicators that the league is turning into extra aggressive than we have seen in recent times. It is precisely what we wish to see.
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- How Southampton can clear up fashion conundrum to beat drop
With that in thoughts, Brighton are inconceivable to fancy strongly right here at 2/5 with Sky Guess particularly as they’re overperforming defensively. Fabian Hurzeler’s aspect have the sixth-worst defensive output in accordance with the anticipated targets metrics and may discover themselves lucky to be fifth within the desk.
Friday twenty ninth November 7:30pm
Kick off 8:00pm
Southampton are very flaky however have the instruments in ahead areas to take benefit, so throwing a few darts at their gamers within the anytime market is sensible with Tyler Dibling (11/2 with Sky Guess) and Mateus Fernandes (9/1) the clear standouts.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Brentford vs Leicester, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
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Brentford have been crimson sizzling at dwelling, successful 5 of their final six video games and are such a tough and awkward workforce to play in opposition to. Leicester step into the unknown with out Steve Cooper but it surely’s arduous to see a lot enchancment on the horizon within the brief time period.
- Dawson to guide Leicester at Brentford as Van Nistelrooy talks proceed
Brentford’s kind hasn’t gone unnoticed within the markets so we’re unable to latch onto a price worth for a house win.
The 4/6 with Sky Guess is brief sufficient. A shrewd method to spend money on a pro-Brentford angle is to easily again Yoane Wissa to attain anytime as an alternative at 11/8. He is netted seven instances in his final 5 appearances on the Gtech as he is the person tasked with getting on the top of the inventive and hard-to-defend provide being fired into opposition packing containers.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
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Newcastle’s video games this season have seen simply 26 targets scored mixed – it is the joint-fewest with Manchester United as Eddie Howe’s aspect have gotten a worthwhile underneath targets workforce to comply with. The problems stem from their incapacity to be scientific with their ending, scoring 13 targets from a haul of 18.3 anticipated targets with a shot dialog fee of simply 8.3 per cent – the third worst within the Premier League.
And who has the worst dialog fee? Crystal Palace with simply 5.9 per cent. It explains why they’ve solely scored three targets at dwelling this season.
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FREE TO WATCH: Highlights from Aston Villa’s match in opposition to Crystal Palace within the Premier League
Beneath 2.5 targets at Evens with Sky Guess goes to go very shut in a good sport.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
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After taking a couple of video games to work out their environment, Ipswich and their supremo supervisor are simply beginning to tick alongside properly within the Premier League.
The introduction of Jens Cajuste into the midfield has labored a deal with and so they have been the superior aspect in opposition to Manchester United, who had Andre Onana to thank for the purpose. A visit to Forest, who regardless of their spectacular defensive file have received solely three of their final 12 Premier League dwelling video games, will not maintain any concern for the Tractor Boys contemplating they went to Tottenham and left with most factors.
- Kalvin Phillips unique: I misplaced hearth in my stomach at Man Metropolis
I am throughout backing Kieran McKenna’s boys with a +1 handicap begin (to keep away from defeat) and mixing that with the match to provide over 1.5 targets by way of the BuildABet perform to get us to tasty 15/8 shot to again.
Premier League video games are beginning to present indicators of a aim heavy nature once more after a sluggish begin. Should you take Everton out of the equation, each sport over the past two Gameweeks has seen two or extra targets scored.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Ipswich +1 handicap & over 1.5 complete match targets (15/8 with Sky Guess)
Wolves vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm
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I am struggling to see why Bournemouth are being chalked up as favourites right here at 6/4 with Sky Guess.
Andoni Iraola’s workforce are a pleasure to observe however have only one away win from their final eight matches and have solely scored greater than as soon as in two of their final 11 highway video games. Iffy outcomes like dropping 1-0 at Leicester and 2-1 at Luton final season definitely give the Cherries a really untrustworthy attraction when this brief within the betting, plus their key man Antoine Semenyo is suspended.
In the meantime, Wolves have began to ship the outcomes their performances have been threatening and since dropping at Arsenal on the opening day, they’ve scored of their final 13 video games in all competitions, together with scoring two or extra in every of their final 4 video games.
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Highlights from the Premier League conflict between Fulham and Wolves
They appear an enormous worth right here at Evens on the draw no guess, that means we’ll get stakes refunded if the match ends a draw.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Wolves draw no guess (Evens with Sky Guess)
West Ham vs Arsenal, Saturday 5.30pm, reside on Sky Sports activities
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With Liverpool and Manchester Metropolis locking horns this weekend, if, like me, you continue to suppose Arsenal are one of the best workforce within the Premier League then now could be the time to again them at 100/30 with Sky Guess for the title earlier than that worth vanishes.
I am nonetheless a believer that that is their time having gone shut earlier than and so they possess the ruthless streak to place successful runs collectively constructed round among the finest defensive models ever seen within the Premier League. That defence can cause them to one other win to nil victory right here.
- Nwaneri: Contained in the rise of Arsenal’s star-in-waiting
The 6/4 on supply is a pleasant enhance on the Arsenal outright worth on a workforce which have received to nil on the highway on 9 of their final 19 matches. I can see a typical Arsenal away efficiency constructed on being defensively targeted, sapping the power out of the sport earlier than putting when on high.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1
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Chelsea vs Aston Villa, Sunday 1.30pm, reside on Sky Sports activities
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It’s now only one clear sheet in Aston Villa’s final 17 Premier League video games after Crystal Palace, led by Ismaila Sarr, managed to attain twice at Villa Park. They’ve now conceded a whopping 31 targets in that interval to a per sport common of 1.82. Solely Wolves and West Ham have conceded extra targets in that point.
The issues going through Unai Emery are just like those at Manchester Metropolis when it comes to the high-quality of possibilities they’re transport in transition. As soon as groups are by way of the midfield press, it is comparatively simple to beat the centre-backs in one-for-one duels. Chelsea are packed filled with gamers to do exactly that – together with Nicolas Jackson, who’s proving doubters like me unsuitable relating to his remaining actions in entrance of aim.
He has 17 aim involvements in his final 20 Premier League and is 5/6 with Sky Guess to attain or help in opposition to what’s a really beneficiant Villa defence.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Manchester United vs Everton, Sunday 2pm
Ruben Amorim already appears to be like to have extra gray hairs than when he arrived in Manchester.
If he did not know the scale of the duty forward of him, he does now after two disjointed performances that laid naked the large issues inside this United squad. He is inherited a really passive midfield, creativity and power is in brief provide within the remaining third and Onana is having to make too many huge saves.
Amorim has already seen his workforce ship 10 pictures on track in two matches and though Everton have netted simply as soon as of their final 4, they’re creating possibilities, averaging 5 pictures on track per sport in that run. Iliman Ndiaye has fired two on track in that run and is no doubt Everton’s brightest spark, succesful of top quality. He appears to be like a temping proposition to have a shot on track at Evens with Sky Guess.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Tottenham vs Fulham, Sunday 2pm
There’s a sample rising for Tottenham after a midweek European fixture in that they’ve misplaced the subsequent Premier League sport. Brighton, Crystal Palace and Ipswich all took benefit of maybe some heavy legs within the Spurs camp as Ange Postecoglou’s tubthumping soccer is difficult to maintain twice every week.
And contemplating I’ve received Fulham as full of life outsiders for a top-four end this season – that went properly in opposition to Wolves final weekend – I’ve received to play the guests right here on the costs. Fulham on the draw no guess market at 12/5 with Sky Guess appears to be like one to significantly contemplate.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Liverpool vs Manchester Metropolis, Sunday 4pm, reside on Sky Sports activities
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This is a gigantic alternative for Liverpool. How Arne Slot’s gameplan copes with the expectation upon them to win this sport will inform us lots about their true title capabilities.
That expectation is proven within the betting markets the place Man Metropolis are going off outsiders in a Premier League match for the primary time in 287 Premier League video games – a run stretching again to once they have been crushed 2-1 by Chelsea in 2017.
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The title race is over if Liverpool beat Man Metropolis, is not it?
It has been a exceptional fall from grace and Slot’s workforce do have the direct attackers to significantly damage Metropolis in transition in the event that they rinse and repeat what Tottenham did final weekend. The outright costs look proper to me although with, if pushed, the high-scoring draw my concept of an accurate rating play on the costs.
A greater punting possibility comes with Josko Gvardiol, who’s 13/2 with Sky Guess to file an help in a sport the place Metropolis must be able to creating huge moments.
Sunday 1st December 3:30pm
Kick off 4:00pm
Gvardiol’s affect is turning into very key within the remaining third, not solely from a goalscoring perspective the place he is a really tidy finisher but in addition from an opportunity creation perspective.
He created eight possibilities within the defeat to Tottenham – essentially the most of any participant in a single sport throughout that Premier League weekend. The defender could be very eager to affix the assaults down the left and will get himself into harmful areas. That’s proven by the numbers exhibiting he is created 17 possibilities in his final six begins. An help is coming.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Jones Is aware of’ greatest bets…
- 1pt on Wolves draw no guess vs Bournemouth (Evens with Sky Guess)
- 1pt on Ipswich +1 handicap & over 1.5 complete match targets vs Nottingham Forest (15/8 with Sky Guess)
- 0.5pts double on Wolves & Ipswich each to win (12/1 with Sky Guess)
Jones Is aware of’ Revenue & Loss file 24/25
Greatest Guess singles (1 unit) | Greatest Guess multiples | Complete P+L | |
Matchday One | -2.10 | -1 | -3.10 |
Matchday Two | +1 | -1 | -3.10 |
Matchday Three | -3.00 | -1 | -7.10 |
Matchday 4 | +3.90 | +11 | +7.80 |
Matchday 5 | -2 | -1 | +4.80 |
Matchday Six | -1 | -1 | +2.80 |
Matchday Seven | 0 | -1 | +1.80 |
Matchday Eight | -3 | 0 | -2.80 |
Matchday 9 | +1 | 0 | -1.80 |
Matchday 10 | +2.38 | -1 | -0.42 |
Matchday 11 | +1.4 | +5 | +5.98 |
Matchday 12 | 0 | -1 | +4.98 |