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Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are in shut races throughout Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina, essential swing states that Mr. Trump had appeared en path to run away with just some weeks in the past.
The New York Instances/Siena School Ballot
Aug. 8 to fifteen
If the 2024 presidential election had been held at the moment, who would you vote for if the candidates had been Kamala Harris and Donald Trump?
Amongst possible voters. Shaded areas characterize margins of error.
Vice President Kamala Harris has stormed into competition within the fast-growing and numerous states of Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina, not lengthy after Donald J. Trump had appeared on the verge of operating away with these states when President Biden was nonetheless the Democratic nominee.
The brand new polls from The New York Instances and Siena School present how rapidly Ms. Harris has reshaped the terrain of 2024 and thrust the Solar Belt again to the middle of the battleground-state map.
Ms. Harris is now main Mr. Trump amongst possible voters in Arizona, 50 % to 45 %, and has even edged forward of Mr. Trump in North Carolina — a state Mr. Trump gained 4 years in the past — whereas narrowing his lead considerably in Georgia and Nevada.
Mr. Trump and Ms. Harris are tied at 48 % throughout a median of the 4 Solar Belt states in surveys carried out Aug. 8 to fifteen.
That marks a major enchancment for Democrats in contrast with Might, when Mr. Trump led Mr. Biden 50 % to 41 % throughout Arizona, Georgia and Nevada within the earlier set of Instances/Siena Solar Belt polls, which didn’t embody North Carolina.
[A dead heat in these four states is not great news for Donald Trump, and it represents a huge shift from earlier in the cycle, Nate Cohn writes.]
| Ariz. | N.C. | Nev. | Ga. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instances/Siena
Possible voters Aug. 8–15 |
Harris +5 | Harris +2 | Trump +2 | Trump +4 |
| Instances/Siena
Registered voters Aug. 8–15 |
Harris +4 | Harris +4 | Trump +2 | Trump +7 |
| Polling common
voters As of 5 a.m. Aug. 17 |
Trump <1 | — | — | Trump +3 |
| Cook dinner Political Report/Benenson Technique Group/GS Technique Group
Possible voters July 26–Aug. 2 |
Harris +2 | Harris +1 | Trump +3 | Even |
| Competitiveness Coalition/Public Opinion Methods
Possible voters July 23–29 |
Trump +5 | No ballot | Trump +1 | No ballot |
| The Hill/Emerson School
Registered voters July 22–23 |
Trump +5 | No ballot | No ballot | Trump +2 |
The New York Instances/Siena School Ballot
Ariz., Ga., N.C., Nev.
Proportion of registered voters who stated these traits described every candidate “very properly” or “considerably properly”
Harris
Trump
Cares about individuals such as you
Flip-flops on points that matter
Will result in the correct of change
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