Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas Metropolis Chiefs: NFL Week 7 Odds …

Chiefs-Chargers Betting Preview

Sport Particulars

• Matchup: Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
• Date: Sunday, Oct. 22 (Week 7)
• Time: 4:25 p.m. EST
• Location: GEHA Area at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas Metropolis, MO)

Odds Abstract

• Moneyline: Chargers +194, Chiefs -235
• Unfold: Chargers +5.5 (-110), Chiefs -5.5 (-110)
• Complete: Over/Below 47.5 (-115/-105)

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Topic to vary.

Week 7 of the 2023 NFL schedule offers us the newest installment of an AFC West rivalry that’s been intently contested in recent times because the Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas Metropolis Chiefs meet at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Chargers are coming off a Monday night time residence loss to the Dallas Cowboys that felt strikingly acquainted. Los Angeles fell behind, tied the sport within the fourth quarter, let Dallas take a three-point lead and eventually misplaced 20-17 with a late-game mistake sealing the end result.

Justin Herbert threw an interception with 1:22 remaining, clinching a Cowboys win in entrance of an L.A. stadium jammed with Dallas followers and sending the Chargers to their third loss this season determined by three factors or fewer.

Since dropping the league’s season-opening recreation at residence to the Detroit Lions, the Chiefs have gained 5 straight, with their most up-to-date win coming final Thursday in opposition to the Denver Broncos. 

Kansas Metropolis’s offense performed inconsistently, however Travis Kelce nonetheless had 9 catches for 124 yards together with his musician buddy watching from a non-public suite, whereas the Ok.C. protection feasted on Denver’s inept offense in a 19-8 victory.

The Chiefs’ 5-1 file has them atop their division, whereas the Chargers sit in third place at 2-3. On the futures board, Kansas Metropolis’s Super Bowl title odds are the second-best at +500. Los Angeles has the Twelfth-best odds to win all of it at +3200.

Moneyline

Within the Patrick Mahomes Period, the first cause for taking the Chiefs as a moneyline winner has been their offense. Bettors ought to really feel comfy choosing a crew quarterbacked by the two-time NFL MVP as a straight-up winner, however the principle cause why Kansas Metropolis is a dependable wager on this matchup resides on the opposite aspect of the ball.

Kansas Metropolis’s protection has but to permit an opponent to attain greater than 21 factors in a recreation, and it’s permitting the second-fewest factors per recreation within the league (14.7 PPG). 

After holding out throughout coaching camp and lacking Ok.C.’s first recreation, defensive sort out Chris Jones has been dominant, piling up 5.5 sacks in 5 video games, whereas second-year edge defender George Karlaftis leads the Chiefs with 27 pressures.

Defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo’s secondary was overhauled previous to final season, and the youth motion offered loads of rising pains final season earlier than rounding into kind in time for the Chiefs’ second title underneath Andy Reid.

The crew’s defensive backs have continued their ascent in 2023, a run highlighted by a powerful collective effort in opposition to Minnesota’s Justin Jefferson two weeks in the past, when the Vikings’ star wideout was held to simply three catches for 28 yards earlier than he left the sport within the fourth quarter with a hamstring harm.

The Chargers haven’t any wideouts who’re remotely near nearly as good as Jefferson, particularly with Mike Williams out for the season after struggling an ACL tear in Week 3. Los Angeles can also be with out former All-Professional heart Corey Linsley, whom the crew positioned on injured reserve with a coronary heart subject.

Backup Will Clapp has stuffed in admirably for the 10-year veteran, however a backup heart making an attempt to decelerate Jones is a dicey proposition. So is choosing in opposition to a Chiefs crew armed with a top quality protection when the sport is at Arrowhead.

Level Unfold

The current outcomes on this division rivalry have been one-sided, because the Chiefs have gained 15 of 18 relationship again to 2014 when the Chargers had been nonetheless primarily based in San Diego. Los Angeles coach Brandon Staley has been on the sidelines for 4 of these video games, successful as soon as with three shut losses, and L.A. has lined the spread in every of the final two. 

The expectation right here is that the Chargers cowl once more. 

Staley’s crew has had a fourth-quarter lead in every of the 4 video games he’s coached in opposition to the Chiefs, however since a six-point Week 3 win in Kansas Metropolis two years in the past, the Chargers have misplaced the final three by agonizingly shut margins.

Kansas Metropolis gained by six factors in additional time in Los Angeles in 2021, then gained each conferences final season by three. 

Within the Justin Herbert period, the Chargers are 5-1 in opposition to the unfold versus the Chiefs and 10-1 in video games after they’re getting greater than three factors. 

Anticipate that development to proceed with Kansas Metropolis’s offense nonetheless a piece in progress – the Chiefs’ seek for solutions included the re-acquisition of huge receiver Mecole Hardman in a commerce this week with the New York Jets. 

Herbert has put up strong numbers in opposition to the Chiefs, tossing 15 landing passes in opposition to 4 picks with a passer ranking of 107.3, and his higher statistical performances have come when taking part in in Kansas Metropolis.

He’s additionally arguably the sport’s greatest passer in opposition to the blitz, finishing a league-best 74.7% of his passes with the second-most landing passes (7) when getting blitzed. Spagnuolo is sending stress on almost 40% of opposing go makes an attempt, and whereas blocking the fellows he’ll be sending will probably be a chore, Herbert is succesful sufficient when underneath duress to make sufficient performs to maintain it shut.

And keep in mind, the Chargers virtually all the time hold it shut. Eighteen of their final 23 video games have been determined by seven factors or fewer, and together with final season’s playoff meltdown in opposition to the Jacksonville Jaguars, every of their final 5 losses have come by a subject objective or much less. None of their final eight losses have been determined by greater than a landing.

Historical past and Herbert are each on the aspect of taking the 5.5 factors.

Over/Below

Neither the Over nor the Below have hit in consecutive Chiefs/Chargers video games since each 2018 conferences exceeded their posted Over/Under totals. That sample ought to lastly break this week when the Over hits for a second straight time. 

We’ll put our cash on Mahomes and Reid developing with some solutions in opposition to a Chargers’ protection that ranks final within the league in total passing yardage allowed (289 YPG) and second-to-last in opponent yards per completion (8.5 YPC). 

Even when the Chiefs are leaning on Kelce just a little greater than they’d like, Taylor Swift’s boyfriend is an effective wager to make a huge impact in opposition to Los Angeles. Kelce is coming off a 124-yard night time in opposition to the Broncos final Thursday, and he has scored 5 touchdowns in his final three video games in opposition to the Chargers with no less than 100 receiving yards in three of the final 4. 

The play right here is to aspect with the offenses. One has Mahomes, Kelce and a shaky secondary going in opposition to it. The opposite options Herbert and a unit that’s excellent as soon as it will get contained in the opponent’s 20-yard line.

These groups have mixed to attain a mean of 56.6 factors over their final 5 conferences. We in all probability gained’t have a complete that goes that top, however what these groups do put up must be sufficient for Over bettors to money a successful ticket. 

Participant Prop

Any recreation involving the Chiefs and Chargers has a enjoyable listing of prop bets. We’ll avoid a few of the apparent stars and take a look at the one involving Kansas Metropolis huge receiver Rashee Rice, whose receiving yards complete is 39.5.

Of their seek for solutions to their passing offense, the Chiefs might have discovered one thing of their final recreation. In opposition to the Broncos, Rice had his best video games as a professional, catching 4 passes for 72 yards every week after hauling within the go-ahead landing seize in Kansas Metropolis’s victory over Minnesota. 

Rice is seeing extra of the sphere – he was concerned in almost half of the Chiefs’ offensive snaps final week – and after placing up strong numbers final Thursday, the rookie receiver ought to see extra of the ball beginning this week.

Photograph by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire through Getty Photographs