Afrigather You possibly can’t actually get a great deal with on NFL teams till a month of the season is accomplished.
We’re there.
Meaning it is my time to get it going with these picks. Week 4 wasn’t so nice. I went 10-6 straight up, however 6-9-1 towards the unfold.
That is vulgar.
The season data are actually 39-25-0 straight up and 29-33-2 towards the unfold. The second quantity must be higher. It is going to.
It is October. It is time to surge.
Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders (-6.5)
Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Amazon Prime Video)
This is not a reasonably recreation for a Thursday night time. However each groups confirmed properly final week in losses, which is progress for the Bears. The Commanders bought Sam Howell again on monitor towards the Eagles. This can be a dangerous Bears protection, so it’ll proceed. The Washington protection will restrict Justin Fields. Commanders take it.
Choose: Commanders 30, Bears 17
Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills (London) (-5.5)
Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ET (NFLN, fubo)
That is Buffalo’s residence recreation, however the Jaguars may have been in London for over every week by the point this kicks off. That is an edge. Buffalo was dominant final week towards Miami, and Josh Allen is enjoying at a excessive degree. The Jaguars seemed higher final week, however they will not be capable of gradual Allen. It will likely be excessive scoring. Payments win it.
Choose: Payments 30, Jaguars 20
Houston Texans at Atlanta Falcons (-2)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
The Texans are one of many surprises thus far this season. C.J. Stroud has been excellent. Desmond Ridder has not. The Texans are the higher crew proper now, however this will likely be a tricky problem towards a Falcons crew coming off a loss. Atlanta will get again on monitor. The Falcons take it.
Choose: Falcons 27, Texans 21
Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions (-9)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
The Panthers are 0-4 and Bryce Young is struggling. Now they face a Lions crew that will likely be rested having performed final Thursday. Detroit impressed in blowing out Inexperienced Bay on the street, with the protection developing massive. It is going to keep that manner because the Lions go to 4-1 behind the protection.
Choose: Lions 30, Panthers 14
I solely make straight-up and against-the-spread picks, however the Sportsline Projection Model intently examines the totals for every recreation. See which aspect to wager right here.
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (-1)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
In a division the place everyone has the identical 2-2 file, this is a crucial early-season recreation. The Titans impressed in beating the Bengals final week, with the protection enjoying properly. That may carry over right here. The Titans will decelerate Anthony Richardson and the Colts, whereas Derrick Henry has an enormous day. Titans take it.
Choose: Titans 24, Colts 20
New York Giants at Miami Dolphins (-11)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
The Giants are a large number. The offensive line is a significant problem. The Dolphins have some line points as properly, however after a so-so recreation final week Tua Tagovailoa will get it again going proper once more. Dolphins massive. The offense explodes once more.
Choose: Dolphins 35, Giants 20
New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots (-1.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
These two are each coming off losses the place the offenses had been horrible. Mac Jones is actually struggling for the Patriots, whereas Derek Carr seemed damage final week. This will likely be a recreation dominated by the defenses. At residence, give me the Patriots — even with the dangerous offense.
Choose: Patriots 21, Saints 17
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (+3.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
It is consecutive street video games for the Ravens, however they performed properly at Cleveland. They confronted a backup quarterback, and would possibly accomplish that right here. Lamar Jackson and the offense appear to be getting it getting into Todd Monken’s system. However one thing says the Steelers regroup on this one, irrespective of who performs quarterback for them.
Choose: Steelers 20, Ravens 17
Cincinnati Bengals at Arizona Cardinals (+3)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
At 1-3, the Bengals are in survival mode. This can be a consecutive street recreation, which makes it powerful. Arizona has been feisty thus far in going 1-3, however I feel that is the week Joe Burrow and the offense get it going for the Bengals. If not, they’re completed. Burrow has a great day.
Choose: Bengals 27, Cardinals 23
Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams (+4)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
This can be a lengthy journey for an Eagles crew that’s undefeated, however definitely not enjoying prefer it did late final season. The Rams are 2-2 and overachieving. The Rams have proven they are going to be aggressive towards good groups. I feel that reveals up on this one. It is shut.
Choose: Eagles 26, Rams 24
New York Jets at Denver Broncos (-2)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
That is the Nathanial Hackett Bowl, on condition that title as a result of Broncos coach Sean Payton lit up Hackett for his teaching job in Denver final season. Hackett is now the Jets offensive coordinator. Payton is 1-3 and his crew hasn’t seemed good. The Jets performed properly in dropping to the Chiefs final Sunday night time. That may carry over right here. Zach Wilson performs higher once more and the Jets protection smothers Russell Wilson.
Choose: Jets 21, Broncos 18
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs at Minnesota Vikings (+5)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Vikings gained final week for the primary time and now get a Chiefs crew enjoying on the street in successive weeks. The Chiefs have not seemed nice on offense this season, however the Vikings protection is the right tonic. Search for Patrick Mahomes to mild up the aggressive Brian Flores protection.
Choose: Chiefs 34, Vikings 23
Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers (-4)
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, fubo)
That is the sport of the week, a rematch of San Francisco’s playoff victory final week. The 49ers are rolling proper now and the Cowboys are coming off a beatdown of the Patriots. However this can be a powerful process on the street. Search for the 49ers to get the perfect of it once more as Christian McCaffrey continues his MVP play.
Choose: 49ers 26, Cowboys 20
Green Bay Packers at Las Vegas Raiders (+2)
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN, fubo)
The Packers are coming off a horrible residence loss final Thursday, however they’ve had time to stew and get some guys again wholesome. The Raiders seemed dangerous in dropping to the Chargers. Jimmy Garoppolo is likely to be again right here, but it surely will not matter. The Packers take it.
Choose: Packers 28, Raiders 21
