HomeBusinessThe politics and economics of Dangote Refinery

The politics and economics of Dangote Refinery

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Aliko Dangote deserves our collective help and official encouragement. I instructed him the day I visited his plant that he’s “an genuine African hero and an actual icon, and I meant that from the underside of my coronary heart. As an investor and businessman, he’s succeeded the place our authorities has failed. He has constructed an enormous enterprise empire consisting of producing, oil and fuel, agriculture, fertilisers, and petrochemicals and can earn greater than Nigeria subsequent yr. For the 2025 FY, the Dangote Group is anticipating to gross a complete income of $30 billion, with the refinery contributing $19.5b; fertiliser, $2.5b; oil and fuel, $1.5b; and cement, $6b. Nigeria is projected to earn about $22 billion in income from crude oil exports subsequent yr. Given the massive oil theft from the Niger Delta, the majority of Nigeria’s oil manufacturing is at the moment coming from the deep-water terrain, which is working underneath the PSC fiscal regime. Subsequently, with the projected 1.4 mbpd, common crude oil worth of $70, and a sharing ratio of 55 % to Nigeria and 45 % to the operators, the anticipated $22 billion in income is insufficient for a rustic of over 200 million individuals. Nigeria is certainly a poor nation. The $30 billion influx subsequent yr to DIL will undoubtedly have salutary impacts on our alternate charge. Is that this why some individuals are bitter in opposition to the person? He has repeatedly acknowledged that the oil mafia is extra highly effective and harmful than the drug cartel. The Tinubu administration ought to due to this fact save the refinery from the mafia and shield it as a nationwide asset.

“The Tinubu administration ought to due to this fact save the refinery from the mafia and shield it as a nationwide asset.”

Each educated grownup Nigerian is aware of that our nation is run on the idea of ethnicity, faith, and partisan politics and is ruled largely by incompetent fellows who’re obsessive about pursuing self-interest. Regardless of how well-meaning a authorities official seems, he’s pushed by an innate urge to advertise his private pursuits above the great of the individuals. The relentless pursuit of self-interest and the absence of affection for the nation are on the root of our nationwide issues. The current assertion credited to the chief govt of the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Regulatory Authority (NMDRA), Engr. Farouk Ahmed, typifies an excellent instance of how private pursuits trump’s nationwide growth. He spoke to the press lately and acknowledged, to the shock of the nation, that Nigeria ought to by no means discontinue importation of refined petroleum merchandise even when the Dangote refinery has the capability to fulfill home consumption as a result of a reliance on the refinery is “a risk to power safety.’’ Farouk additionally alleged that the diesel produced from the refinery is under customary by way of sulphur content material. It’s apposite that Mr. Dangote himself has categorically denied Ahmed’s allegations of manufacturing substandard product and has assured that the sulphur content material of his diesel has been falling steadily to satisfy the nation’s requirement. The enterprise group went additional to supply proof that NMDRA had earlier licensed its laboratories which have constantly examined his merchandise.

Learn additionally: Dangote Refinery/NNPC standoff exposes damaged economic system – Kingsley Moghalu

There is no such thing as a doubt that Engr Ahmed is pushed by self-interest in audaciously pushing for continued importation of merchandise relatively than supporting home manufacturing. Numerous NNPC and regulatory officers are making fast bucks from the importation of petroleum merchandise, and they don’t need to let go. They’ve grown too wealthy within the corrupt and opaque oil importation and oil swap enterprise—a lot in order that they don’t even need government-owned refineries to work. They revenue from limitless turn-around upkeep programmes that produce no outcomes, but these comatose refineries have a full complement of staff receiving salaries and different emoluments yr after yr. Farouk just isn’t bothered that the nation has misplaced billions by exporting crude oil and repeatedly importing refined merchandise. All that issues to those individuals is their financial institution accounts.

A regulatory authority that talks down on home producers and denigrates in-country manufacturing efforts in choice for continued importation is both incompetent or corrupt, or each. Regardless of how wobbly home producers are, or regardless of the nascency of the extent of home manufacturing, a regulator’s fundamental goal must be to supply steerage, an enabling surroundings, incentives, and encouragements to assist the operators succeed. That’s how Taiwan moved from being producers of inferior items to changing into a serious producer of chips and semiconductors; Bangladesh moved from being the poverty capital of the world within the Eighties to being a serious producer and exporter of clothes, regardless that the nation has no single cotton discipline. Vietnam moved from being a producer of tennis sneakers to changing into a serious producer of laptop chips. The chaebols of South Korea grew as a result of authorities’s help. I don’t even need to point out China!

Robust regulators assist in rising the economic system. The Central Financial institution of Nigeria, for instance, won’t ever get to the press and announce names of weak banks within the nation and threaten to shut them down or invite international banks to take over. It’s also the explanation NAFDAC, SEC, NCAA, or every other regulators don’t make foolish statements within the media, lampooning the operators of their trade. A very good regulator works with the operators to satisfy minimal requirements. They don’t create panic and embarrassment. The nationwide outrage that trailed Farouk Ahmed’s statements is a measure of how resentful Nigerians are of limitless gas importation and the endemic corruption in and across the NNPC, its subsidiaries, and trade regulators. Their lack of ability to revive our moribund state-owned refineries has made Nigeria the laughing inventory of the world and the butt of all jokes at ingesting pubs. I referred to as on President Tinubu to sack Engr. Ahmed straight away, saving the nation from his embarrassing indolence.

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